PSV vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
0 - 0
BVO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 0
PSV
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
LUD
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CVA
3 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |