PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 3
FEY
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
RJC
0 - 1
PSV
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 3
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RJC
2 - 0
UTR
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |