PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 2
HSV
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
1 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
TWE
3 - 1
ADO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RKC
0 - 1
TWE
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
67%
20%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |