PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
RBK
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TWE
1 - 4
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |