PSV vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 3
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 1
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ADO
0 - 4
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AEK
3 - 1
PAO
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 1
OLP
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 1
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ARI
1 - 2
AEK
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
AEK
1 - 2
HAL
88%
9%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |