Promesas de Dios vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 2
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
IND
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
SUN
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |