Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
PRO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAC
2 - 0
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 3
JUN
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
JUN
3 - 0
ROC
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
CAN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HFC
0 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |