Princesa Solimões vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 3
PRI
25%
24%
50%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 2
REM
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
PRI
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 2
OPE
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
FFL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |