Amazonense Second Round Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Princesa Solimões vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
PRI
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SUL
0 - 4
PRI
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
PRI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FAS
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FAS
0 - 5
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 4
FAS
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FAS
2 - 1
HOL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |