Prespa Birlik vs IFK Malmö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prespa Birlik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 0
PRE
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PRE
4 - 3
HAS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KAR
6 - 0
PRE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 3
NOS
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BER
2 - 0
PRE
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Malmö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 0
MAL
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
4 - 1
LIN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LJU
1 - 2
MAL
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +30 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAL
3 - 3
HOL
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LTF
0 - 2
MAL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |