Prachuap vs Nongbua Pitchaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
18
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prachuap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
KHU
0 - 3
PRA
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
MUA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LWA
0 - 0
PRA
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEC
1 - 1
PRA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
BUR
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nongbua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NBP
1 - 2
BEC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LWA
1 - 0
NBP
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NBP
0 - 1
BUR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 3
NBP
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NBP
2 - 1
CHO
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |