Portuguesa FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 2
POR
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CDS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
LOT
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UCV
0 - 0
LAR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |