Portuguesa FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
UAS
2 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCV
2 - 1
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDS
0 - 0
POR
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
ATL
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
5 - 2
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CES
0 - 0
LAR
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CDS
0 - 1
LAR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |