Portugalete vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 4
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
BFC
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
BEA
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
POR
14%
20%
67%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GER
2 - 2
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BEA
3 - 0
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
GER
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
LAU
32%
29%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |