Portugal U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
2 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 6
RUS
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 3
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MDA
2 - 2
GEO
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
MDA
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |