Portugal U20 vs Estados Unidos U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
GAM
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
POR
32%
25%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
NZL
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
NED
0 - 0
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estados Unidos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
AUT
2 - 1
USA
21%
22%
56%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
URU
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 2
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
USA
6 - 1
POL
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
KOR
1 - 1
USA
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |