Portugal U20 vs China U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CHN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
POR
6 - 0
QAT
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
POR
21%
23%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
China U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CHN
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 1
NED
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 3
GER
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
4 - 1
PAN
70%
17%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
3 - 2
UKR
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |