Portugal U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CPV
86%
11%
4%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
POR
4 - 0
USA
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
GAM
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
48%
23%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
BOL
86%
10%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |