Portugal U19 vs Gales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
GRC
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
POR
26%
24%
51%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
POR
6 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
SRB
2 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
WAL
6 - 0
MDA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
NED
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GEO
5 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |