Port Vale vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
POR
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
OLD
3 - 2
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1994 |
POR
0 - 0
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
BOL
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
SCA
1 - 0
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
REA
0 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
REA
4 - 2
WOL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
OPA
1 - 1
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1994 |
REA
1 - 1
MID
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
SUN
0 - 1
REA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |