Port Vale vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
PNE
7 - 1
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
TOT
4 - 2
POR
73%
16%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
POR
4 - 1
HUL
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1929 |
POR
1 - 2
STO
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
REA
3 - 0
HUL
61%
21%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
REA
0 - 2
MIL
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
NOT
1 - 1
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SOU
2 - 2
REA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
REA
6 - 1
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |