Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
MUD
2 - 0
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
POR
0 - 0
BOL
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
HUL
2 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
2 - 0
POR
58%
20%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1934 |
POR
3 - 0
HUL
60%
21%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
PLY
3 - 0
BRA
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
BPO
1 - 1
PLY
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
PLY
1 - 0
MIL
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
PLY
0 - 0
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1934 |
MIL
0 - 0
PLY
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |