Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
COL
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
STA
3 - 2
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
YEO
40%
25%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LUT
1 - 0
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
STE
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |