Port Vale vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
BUR
21%
23%
57%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 0
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
BOL
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
GET
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
GIL
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GIL
4 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
GIL
1 - 2
BHA
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
GIL
27%
24%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GIL
3 - 1
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |