Port Vale vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
POR
0 - 3
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
STF
19%
22%
60%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 0
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CUM
3 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |