Port Vale vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROT
37%
25%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 4
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
4 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |