Port Melbourne Sharks vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
5 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
POR
0 - 2
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
POR
36%
21%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
MEL
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 3
OAK
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AVH
1 - 1
DAN
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 0
DAN
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
DAN
6 - 0
ALM
67%
18%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |