Pontypridd United vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
28
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
TNS
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
FLI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
HAV
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
LID
87%
9%
3%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
SCO
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |