Pontypridd United vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
2º
1º
35
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
PON
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 3
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 3
FLI
22%
23%
56%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
FLI
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |