Pontypridd United vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
40
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
HAV
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
PEN
16%
24%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 2
PON
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |