Pontypridd United vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
2º
1º
2
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
4 - 1
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
AIR
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
CAE
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |