Pontypridd United vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
2º
1º
36
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
PON
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
FLI
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |