Pontisola vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
PON
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ASG
4 - 5
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 1
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
OLG
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PON
1 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 4
USS
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
3 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |