Pontevedra vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PON
5 - 1
LEO
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
TUR
6 - 3
PON
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PON
5 - 1
SAN
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CEL
4 - 1
PON
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
PON
3 - 0
CDO
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAL
1 - 1
LUG
48%
22%
30%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
6%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ARO
1 - 0
LUG
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
LUG
4 - 0
LEM
87%
9%
5%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
PON
5 - 2
LUG
58%
20%
22%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |