Pontardawe Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
PON
2 - 0
BRI
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 3
LID
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
PON
4 - 0
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
PON
2 - 0
BRY
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PON
0 - 2
CAM
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRI
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |