Ponferradina vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 2
PON
12%
24%
64%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
RAC
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 0
PON
12%
24%
63%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
CDG
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 2
PON
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
TUD
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 0
CEL
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEA
0 - 1
CEL
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
4 - 1
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |