Polykastro vs Nafpaktiakos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polykastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
LAM
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ANA
1 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
POL
1 - 1
OLY
22%
26%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AEG
0 - 0
POL
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
TRI
46%
27%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NAF
0 - 4
THT
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
LAM
2 - 0
NAF
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NAF
0 - 2
AOK
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ANA
2 - 1
NAF
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
NAF
1 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |