Polonia U18 vs URSS U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SWE
0 - 0
POL
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
POL
2 - 1
SWE
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
POL
2 - 0
DDR
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
URSS U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1981 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1981 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CSK
1 - 0
SUN
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
CSK
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |