Policia de Lara vs Dep. Táchira II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Táchira II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ULA
4 - 3
DEP
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 3
CAR
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 1
DEP
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |