Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
86.9%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
PSP
1 - 3
HSA
21%
19%
61%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
CPK
3 - 0
PSP
96%
4%
1%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
90%
7%
2%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 3
PSP
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 0
MCA
12%
14%
74%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MCA
2 - 0
BEN
16%
18%
67%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 2
CHF
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
3 - 2
HSA
89%
7%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
4 - 1
CPK
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +3 |