Poliçani vs Vlora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poliçani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
HIM
2 - 2
POL
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
POL
6 - 2
MAL
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TEP
3 - 2
POL
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
POL
0 - 2
MEM
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
POJ
5 - 0
POL
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VLO
3 - 1
TEP
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MEM
2 - 2
VLO
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VLO
3 - 1
POJ
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BUT
1 - 1
VLO
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VLO
7 - 3
KEL
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |