Polet Dorćol vs Crvena Zvezda MML analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polet Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RNB
2 - 0
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
STV
56%
21%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAK
0 - 1
POL
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
6 - 0
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
TEL
19%
24%
58%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CZM
5 - 2
RAD
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TEL
3 - 0
CZM
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CZM
1 - 2
SOP
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CZM
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CZM
0 - 0
NOV
26%
24%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |