Stade Poitevin vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
6º
42
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
POI
2 - 1
PED
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 0
POI
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POI
1 - 4
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
POI
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCP
3 - 0
GDB
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCP
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 2
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 0
NIO
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PED
0 - 4
FCP
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |