GKS Pogon vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
PGM
2 - 4
MSZ
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PGM
6 - 1
PBI
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
PGM
1 - 0
ZZA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LKS
1 - 4
PGM
49%
22%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PGM
1 - 0
ZNI
16%
21%
62%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 4
LTM
26%
21%
53%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LTM
2 - 2
UWA
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SOK
1 - 2
LTM
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LTM
0 - 2
KSB
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
LTM
0 - 2
PEL
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |