Poblense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDA
2 - 2
PBL
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PBL
0 - 1
ATB
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
PBL
48%
26%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PBL
3 - 2
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SRF
1 - 0
PBL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
ADC
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PXD
3 - 1
MER
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UDA
2 - 1
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 3
ATB
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 4
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |