Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CON
1 - 2
PBL
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PBL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
PXD
2 - 1
PBL
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PBL
4 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
PBL
50%
26%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FER
0 - 0
MHN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FER
1 - 1
MLL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CLL
0 - 0
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
FER
4 - 1
MNU
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MLL
1 - 0
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |