Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PBL
1 - 0
MHN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 3
PBL
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PBL
0 - 0
PXD
40%
28%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
IBI
5 - 1
PBL
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PBL
1 - 0
CLL
61%
23%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ALA
2 - 3
FER
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
4 - 3
IBI
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ATB
2 - 1
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FER
6 - 1
MNU
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SLL
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |