Plymouth Argyle vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PLY
0 - 1
ROT
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
PLY
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GIL
0 - 2
PLY
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PLY
1 - 0
STF
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 4
PLY
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
IPS
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
MOR
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
GIL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 1
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |