Plymouth Argyle vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 0
PLY
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 2
AFC
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 4
ROT
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STF
1 - 1
PLY
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
GIL
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
PNE
3 - 2
CRE
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |