Plabennec vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
6º
43
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 0
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
LOC
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
VIT
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 0
CPB
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 0
SPM
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SPM
3 - 1
SBR
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STA
1 - 3
SPM
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |